"Technical Breaking Position" kills!What is the reason, what will happen to the market market?The latest interpretation of top private equity

Today, the three major indexes of A -share have fallen collectively. The number of stocks in the two cities has fallen more than 4,400. The industry sector has almost fell across the board. Regarding the cause of the decline, private equity analysis believes that it is mainly due to poor economic data and the expected rising decline. In addition, the track stocks have structural adjustment after the early rise.

Picture source: Photo Network-401052364

Is the market switch or continue to adjust? Some senior market analysts said that the adjustment of the small index has been adjusted for the increase in large bands since the end of April. The adjustment time may be more than one month, and the space may not be too small. However, some private equity people believe that the market will maintain structural market. For the opportunity of the market, a number of private equity people are still optimistic about new energy. After the market emotions are stable, the track stocks are expected to strengthen.

The three major indexes of A shares fall collectively

Today, the Shanghai and Shenzhen cities have weakened after opening the entire line, and there is no counterattack in the market. As of the closing, the three major indexes of A -share have fallen collectively, and the number of stocks has fallen by more than 4,400. The industry and concept segments have almost green.

Ma Cheng, chairman of Shenzhen Juze Investment, told reporters in WeChat that there are two main reasons for the entire line of track stocks today: First, since the end of April, there have been a wave of track stocks with wind energy, photovoltaic and new energy sources. A good rebound, the market has accumulated a lot of profit. The desire for short -term fulfillment is greater, and a little wind blows will cause the chip to loosen. In Ningde Times (SZ300750, the stock price of 524 yuan, a market value of 127.88 billion yuan), it opened high and low, which also dragged down the performance of the entire new energy and lithium battery sector, and formed a large suppression of the disk surface.

Guangdong Xiaoyu Investment Li Shiyu told reporters in WeChat that the Federal Reserve Eagle officials have recently made remarks. The market expects that the Fed in September may increase interest rate hikes in September, which leads to expected capital to continue to return to Wall Street. Under the superposition of various factors and coincidence, the pessimism of the market is fermented today. If you interpret it from a technical face, then a large yin line of the broader market today is a technical break. The market will continue to adjust and continue to look at the backlord in the short period of time.

"Today's A -share volume has plummeted, the main reason is because of the poor economic data of the peripherals and the decline is expected to rise." Yu Dingheng, chairman of Shenzhen Winghu Investment, told reporters in WeChat that the US economic data was poor last night, and the three major US stock indexes fell across the board. ; Secondly, the expected game was fulfilled, and the new energy sector pulled the GEM to water. This reflects the art expectations of stocks: when the stock price and valuation are low, the performance is good, the stock price is easy to rise. On the contrary, the stock price and valuation are announced at a high level. Expectation is expected, and the stock price falls.

Yu Dingheng also said that the mainstream track has structural adjustment needs after the early high increase, coupled with other pessimistic expectations of the market at the same time, at the same time enlarged panic, the star tracks with too high early increases accelerated the callback. Under the premise of abundant liquidity, in the process of adjustment of the A -share market, there is support, not deeply, and the capital market valuation system is relatively stable. At the same time, due to the suppression of weak credit, the overall risk preferences cannot be raised rapidly in the short term, so it is still still the same Be cautious and optimistic, find structural opportunities, and look for the prosperal track leader to find a selection layout around the small and medium -sized growth.

Zhao Yuanyuan, director of Asset Investment in Jianhong Times, told reporters in WeChat that today's market plunge has accompanied the outflow of about 6.6 billion funds in the north and the depreciation of the US dollar on the US dollar, indicating that foreign capital outflow is the main reason. From the significant rise in the US TIPS spreads and US Treasury interest rates in the last week, it can be seen that the market is very cautious about the Fed's statement at the Jackson Hall annual meeting last Friday, so it will go out of risk out of A shares in the two days before the meeting. However, the hedging funds will be returned after the meeting. At present, the situation where the US dollar is stronger in the future, and the slowdown of foreign investment in A shares will not significantly change. A shares rebound requires the domestic epidemic and high temperature no longer restrict economic recovery.

Is the market switch or continue to adjust?

For the adjustment of the market today, what are the high and low switching in the later period? Or will it continue to adjust? From the perspective of technical analysis, Wang Ping, a senior market analyst, pointed out that on August 19th, the view of "the top structure of the small index daily line" was proposed. Confirmation of the departure structure; the adjustment of the small index opening should be aimed at this large -band increase since the end of April. The adjustment time will not be too short. For more than a month, the space will not be too small. area. For the Shanghai Composite Index, due to the adjustment since 3424 points on July 5th, the structure is not complete, then the adjustment here is likely to be part of the C wave adjustment, the probability is the C3 wave.

Ma Cheng, chairman of Shenzhen Juze Investment, told reporters in WeChat that it is expected that the market will continue to maintain a weak shock in the next step. The current overall level of A shares is not high. The space is limited; followed by the current country, in order to stabilize economic growth, the overall monetary policy is loose. In this case, the possibility of market plunge is unlikely; the third is that short -term track stocks have risen sharply, and the market must continue to attack significantly. Unrealistic, unless there is a new sector that can become the main line of rebound, from the current point of view, it is not obvious for the time being. Therefore, we believe that the market will maintain a structural market. At the same time, there will be obvious high and low switching action between the sectors, that is, the high -level sector must be adjusted, and the low -level sector will be favored by funds. Guangdong Xiaoyu invests in Li Shiyu with different views. He told reporters in WeChat that the market is pessimistic as a whole, so it is difficult to switch high and low. The stock stocks that have risen sharply in the early stage have signs of the mid -term top adjustment. If the market outlook continues to decline and adjusts, it is difficult for the market to re -make money. From this, the market sector switching will not be able to talk about it. During the market adjustment, some blue -chip stocks may come out to activate the market. This is a short -term opportunity, such as bank insurance brokerage stocks. However, because the current market sentiment is beginning to turn a sense of sorrow, it is difficult for the market outlook to have much active space.

At present, the core contradiction of the market is that the economic expectations brought by the weak economic recovery are difficult to improve. Under the background of maintaining low economic expectations, A shares have insufficient action on the A -share, and the short -term manifestations are shock. Weak economic expectations may be important to hinder the continued upward trend of major stock indexes. factor. In the short term, the stock market still has obvious stock game characteristics. Xingshi Investment told reporters in WeChat that from the mid -term perspective, the bottom of the most pessimistic market has now gone out. In the context of actively the economic and macro risks, the market economy is expected to improve. It will become the follow -up stock market drive.

Zhao Yuanyuan told reporters in WeChat that foreign capital's statement was very cautious about the Fed and had a risk of avoidance before the meeting. The Ningde era was one of the stocks of foreign heavy positions. After the meeting, this part of the funds would return to a certain extent. In the past few months, Huawei and some global science and technology factories have shrinking future plans. Technology products have certain available consumer goods attributes and are more sensitive to the economic cycle. Therefore, these statements are not optimistic about the global economy in the future. For A -share investors, in the context of long -term weak economic growth, it is necessary to carefully choose investment tracks that comply with economic transformation, such as new energy.

Where is the market opportunity? Private equity indication direction

Where is the market opportunity for the high standard sector today? Xingshi Investment told reporters in WeChat that there are opportunities for various sectors of the current stock market to fluctuate, and in the investment and research work, it is more concerned about the valuation of the valuation and the later prosperity. In the short term, the macro foundation of small and medium plates may continue. However, in the middle and long term, the final market performance of the small and medium -sized disk still depends on the degree of realization of fundamental expectations. The number of small and medium -sized plates is large, and the differentiation of the industry and individual stocks is relatively obvious. In the mid -term, with the improvement of economic expectations and the improvement of the real economy, domestic inflation may restrict monetary policy space, valuation driver may gradually turn to fundamental drive, the stock market style may be more balanced. Investment Opportunities.

Ma Cheng told reporters in WeChat to pay more attention to the pork sector and the grain industry section with relatively high certainty. The investment logic of the pork sector is mainly that the pork cycle has officially arrived. In the second half of the year to next year, the price of pork will continue to rise, and the pork sector will enter the performance inflection point period. The investment logic of the grain industry is mainly global drought recently. The European Union also issued a report saying that it may be the most serious drought in 500 years, which will cause a significant reduction in grain production and facilitate the grain industry sector.

Chen Hongbing, chairman of An Weimeitong Assets, told reporters in WeChat that the deep reason for the fall of the market is that this position itself is technical pressure. It needs to be confirmed to confirm the support of the annual line. The high growth of the central report in Ningde Times is only a good factor that promotes his rise, but it cannot determine his rising or down day. Overall, it depends on the big environment. When the market is calm, it will rise.

Chen Hongbing said that the US stocks have fallen in three consecutive consecutive consecutive consecutive consecutive times, and the European economic situation is not good, which has covered the global market. At present, some funds in the market are concerned about the market outlook, and the opportunity to withdraw for the time being with the opportunity. After the market emotions are stable, the track stocks are expected to strengthen. In the future, we will continue to pay attention to the industries with high performance+determination of performance. New energy is an opportunity given by the times. There are policy support, market demand, and no reason to be good. Essence Both milk and cakes will be available. Investors should do their own cognitive scope, and the short -term impact does not change the trend of large.

Daily Economic News

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