Classics commented: How to see employment data "one decrease and one increase"

Employment is a top priority of people's livelihood for millions of households, and it is also an important support for stabilizing the economic market. In the macro data released by the National Bureau of Statistics a few days ago, the "one decrease and one increase" of employment data is hidden —

In July, the national urban survey rate was 5.4%, a decrease of 0.1 percentage points from the previous month. Don't underestimate this trivial "0.1". It is the third consecutive month since May of the urban investigation of unemployment rates, a cumulative decrease of 0.7 percentage points, which reflects the overall improvement of my country's employment situation to a certain extent.

It is also in July, and the unemployment rates of population surveys from 16 to 24 to 59 are 19.9%and 4.3%, respectively. Among them, youth investigation of unemployment rates (the population survey rate of 16 to 24 years old) hit a new high of nearly 4 months. At present, the unemployment survey data of the National Bureau of Statistics can be traced back to August 2019 36 months ago. This 19.9%is also the highest value of the unemployment rate of youth surveys in the past three years.

From international experience, youth investigation of unemployment rates is usually higher than the average unemployment rate, and the general ratio is generally about twice. In other words, when the national urban survey rate is 5.4%, it is more reasonable for youth survey unemployment rates to remain at about 10%. At present, the unemployment rate of youth investigation has exceeded three times the unemployment rate of urban surveys in the country. Why is the employment pressure of youth groups continued to increase when the employment situation is generally improved?

From the comprehensive research and judgment, there are both the contradiction between the total amount and structure behind this, as well as the reasons for multiple factors such as periodic and seasonality. On the one hand, the indicator of the unemployment rate of youth itself has a strong periodicity. In July, the graduation season, a large number of young people entered the employment market for job hunting, which pushed the unemployment rate of the youth group. At the same time, the total number of youth employment this year is relatively large. Only college graduates reached 10.76 million, an increase of 1.67 million from last year, a record high. On the other hand, due to the impact of the epidemic, some places and industry market entities encountered temporary difficulties, and their employment capabilities decreased. In addition, the structural contradictions of employment continued to appear, and the problems of talent supply and demand in some fields and the high degree of matching of people's jobs still need to be resolved further.

Stable employment is a systematic project. It is necessary to benefit as much as possible to the employment people as possible. It is also necessary to do a good job of employment such as accurate docking and multi -pronged approach. From the perspective of the current employment situation, doing a good job of employment of youth groups is still the focus of employment.

It is necessary to strengthen the stability and expand and further expand the "employment pool". Since the beginning of this year, various regions and departments have launched a series of policies and measures to provide more jobs for young graduates. For example, the employment of enterprises to absorb college graduates will be motivated, accelerate the progress of civil servants and public institutions, and broaden marketization and social employment channels. In the next step, we must continue to accelerate the implementation of a policy of stabilizing the economy, and continue to improve the driving force of economic development on employment. It is reported that the National Development and Reform Commission and other departments are studying and formulating policies and measures to support the entrepreneurship and employment of college graduates, continue to expand the increase on the basis of the stability, and strive to create more high -quality employment opportunities for young groups.

It is necessary to strengthen entrepreneurial employment and further enhance "employment." It is necessary to speed up a group of pain points to restrict entrepreneurship and employment, continuously improve the support system for entrepreneurship and employment policy for college graduates, and do everything possible to develop market -oriented employment channels. It is necessary to strengthen the interpretation and interpretation of the "double innovation" related policies, play the role of the "Double Innovation Demonstration Base Alliance", and achieve more effective docking for entrepreneurial employment resources. We must continue to plan a group of key activities for entrepreneurship to drive employment, make good use of the "Double Innovation Activity Week", China International "Internet+" College Student Innovation and Entrepreneurship Competition, "Maker China" SME Innovation and Entrepreneurship Competition to cultivate an atmosphere of innovation and entrepreneurship , Improve innovation and entrepreneurship, expand entrepreneurship and employment space.

At present, my country's economic operation is at a key node that determines the trend of the year. Under the requirements of the central government, the central government has clearly put forward the requirements of "the epidemic should be defended, the economy must be stable, and the development is safe". In the urgent work, we must seize the window period for economic stability and recovery since the second quarter, do everything possible to stabilize employment, grasp the joint management to expand employment, and play the role of economic recovery growth on employment. (Source of this article: Economic Daily Author: Gu Yang)

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