"One cabinet is difficult to find" no longer, and the Ministry of Commerce meeting emphasizes the enhancement of foreign trade development momentum

21st Century Business Herald reporter Zhao Zijian Beijing report

According to data from the General Administration of Customs, in the first seven months of this year, the total value of imports and exports in my country was 23.6 trillion yuan, an increase of 10.4%year -on -year. Foreign trade with a double -digit growth rate undoubtedly shows strong toughness.

Recently, the decline in the price of sea transportation is good for foreign trade shipments, but it also reflects the fact that the global market is weak. In June of this year, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) reduced the expectations of world economic growth in 2022 and 2023 to 3.2%and 2.9%, respectively.

According to data from Shanghai Shipping Exchange, on August 12, 2022, China's export container freight index of 3073.28, a decrease of 2.9%from the previous period; at the same time, the Shanghai export container freight index of 3562.67, a decrease of 177.05 from the previous period. The fall of weekly, setting a new low since July last year.

Affected by factors such as the epidemic, China's foreign trade enterprises have appeared in the first half of this year.

Maritime prices continue to fall

"The company's recent orders are relatively tight, and the factory operation is not busy." Meng Gang (pseudonym), general manager of a service trade company in Guangdong, told reporters that the situation of "one cabinet is difficult to find" in the market has no longer existed, but "boat ships. "Finding goods" is more common.

"The previous cabin needs to be booked two months in advance, and now it is basically a week in advance." Meng Gang said.

Chen Hongzhi (pseudonym), the owner of a toy factory in Guangdong, also told the 21st Century Business Herald that the recent decline in maritime prices has continued to decline. Due to the good situation of the company's orders, the shipping company came to seek goods.

In terms of freight rates, China's export container freight index shows that on August 12, 2022, Southeast Asia, Europe, East, and the Mediterranean Index fell 11.3%, 3.3%, 0.8%, and 1.8%from the previous week.

On August 17, the Baltic Swell Slottering Index (BDI) was 1394, a decrease of 61.88%in the past year.

According to the Baltic container freight index (FBX), as of August 16, 2022, the freight index from Asia to West was 5898, a decrease of more than 70%from the high point in 2021; It also decreased by about 30%compared to this year.

"Recently, the freight rate has been changing, and different destinations of different ports have been different. Especially in Southeast Asian routes, the price has dropped to about $ 600, which is similar to the price before the epidemic. Meng Gang said.

Zhao Ping, deputy dean of the China Trade Council Research Institute, told the 21st Century Business Herald that since the epidemic, the problem of shortage of port congestion in Europe and the United States has caused shortage of capacity for transportation. The problems such as Segang have been significantly improved, and the efficiency of global shipping supply chain has gradually recovered.

Bai Ming, deputy director of the International Market Research Institute of the Ministry of Commerce, pointed out in an interview with the 21st Century Business Herald that the decline in the price of sea transportation is mainly due to the stance of international trade growth, and the overall supply and demand relationship has changed. In addition, the premium prices are too high in the early stage. There are also "hype" components, and the excessive rise in maritime prices itself is unsustainable.

At present, the global market performance is sluggish, both in the high inflation rate of Europe and the United States and other economies of economies, and geopolitical conflicts have caused a certain impact on foreign trade.

The "World Economic Outlook Report" released by IMF in June pointed out that it is expected that the world economic growth rate will slow from 6.1%last year to 3.2%this year, which is 0.4 percentage points lower than the April forecast; 0.7 percentage points lower than the last forecast.

Enhance foreign trade development momentum

It is worth noting that, due to factors such as the epidemic, China's foreign trade enterprises have appeared in the first half of this year with a short order and a small single -single situation, and the development of foreign trade has faced some new situations.

At the regular press conference of the Ministry of Commerce held today, a spokesman for the Ministry of Commerce Shu Jioting said that at present, my country's foreign trade development still faces many challenges. The prospects for growth in major economies are not optimistic, insufficient consumption willingness, slower expansion of foreign demand, and difficulty in obtaining orders for enterprises. At the same time, domestic and international logistics still need to further improve efficiency and unblock the industrial chain supply chain.

The "Report on China's Foreign Trade Situation Situation of China in 2022" completed by the China Trade Council also shows that the main difficulties facing foreign trade enterprises are still concentrated in the year -on -year decline in new orders.

Bai Ming analyzed that this situation mainly includes three reasons: first, European and American major economies such as Europe and the United States are in a contraction state, and the order overflow ability is relatively decreased; second, the resumption of the national industries in Southeast Asia leads to some orders in my country; the third is the multi -point frequency of the epidemic situation. The increasing uncertain factors of orders have caused a certain impact on the enterprise.

On August 17, the main report issued by the China Macroeconomic Forum pointed out that China's exports exceeded expectations, and the foreign trade and stable foreign capital policies achieved certain results, but the growth effect gradually weakened.

On August 17, the national stable foreign trade and foreign capital expanded consumer TV conference was held. The meeting emphasized that it is necessary to effectively respond to risks and challenges, enhance the development of foreign trade development, promote the further improvement of import and export development, and make greater contributions to the stability of the economy. It is necessary to actively support foreign trade enterprises to obtain orders, stabilize the market, ensure import security such as food and energy resources, ensure the smooth flow of foreign trade and logistics, and promote the innovation and development of service trade, and play a greater role. Bai Ming suggested that the promotion of foreign trade and stability should be implemented in place to implement a series of stable foreign trade policies and measures introduced in the early stage. At the same time, the results of the transformation and upgrading of the manufacturing industry need to be converted into the results of foreign trade transformation and upgrading.

Shu Jingsing said that the Ministry of Commerce will continue to promote the implementation of policies with various localities and relevant departments, tap the new growth points of foreign trade, and strive to reduce the adverse impact of the epidemic on the development of foreign trade, actively enlarge, prevent reduction, and strengthen protection. Going all out to achieve the stability and quality of foreign trade, and make greater contributions to the stability of the economic market.

Meng Gang said that he hopes that relevant departments will continue to increase the implementation of tax cuts and fees and reduce corporate costs; increase the efforts of online exhibitions and overseas exhibitions, and broaden the channels for grabbing orders.

Looking forward to the future, Zhou Maohua, a macro researcher at the Financial Market Department of Everbright Bank, believes that from the perspective of trends, the growth rate of exports may slow down, but it is still expected to continue to maintain toughness. my country's foreign trade export structure has continued to optimize, and foreign trade enterprises 'quality and efficiency, innovation and development, and the continuous role of helping enterprises' policies can help reduce the pressure on the slowdown in overseas demand and the supply chain.

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