Oil price starts "Dowender"!Wheat and chemical fertilizers have expanded, and the price of pigs will rise. What is the situation?

From June to the present, in just two months, fertilizers have continued to decline, and the speed of decline exceeds the imagination of some practitioners. However, grass -roots farmers do not buy continuous decline in chemical fertilizers. They think that it is not used now.

However, I personally think that falling is better than rising. From some related data, we can understand that from June to this day, small granules have fallen from 3187 yuan per ton to 2484 yuan per ton, and the decline has exceeded 22%. ; Compared with June, potassium fertilizer fell 440 yuan per ton to 4870 yuan per ton; the decline in phosphate fertilizer was around 1,000 yuan per ton.

From the perspective of urea dynamics on August 10, the scope of decline is still expanding. Except for the stable prices of Shandong, Jiangsu, Hubei, Inner Mongolia, Yunnan, Sichuan, Heilongjiang, and Jiangxi, the country nationwide has fallen in an all-round way. Yuan. Among them, Henan fell 20 yuan per ton; Hebei fell 20-30 yuan per ton; Anhui fell 20 yuan per ton; Shanxi fell 20-30 yuan per ton; Shaanxi fell 40 yuan per ton; The tons fell 50 yuan; Guangxi fell 20 yuan per ton; Guangdong fell 10 yuan per ton; Liaoning fell 60 yuan per ton.

The main reason for the decline in urea is related to demand. At present, in addition to the use of fertilizer in Shandong, other regions have basically stagnant demand, and manufacturers have poor orders. They promote sales by significantly reduced prices. In addition, the purchase enthusiasm of downstream dealers is not high, and most of the pre -sale inventory. In addition, some fertilizer manufacturers have issued a preservation policy for dealers, and the time limit for preservation has continued until November at the latest to break the situation where the purchase enthusiasm is not high.

The start of the oil price of oil prices ushered in the "big drop"

Oil prices are the same as before, and ushered in the first "four consecutive declines" during the year. Among them, gasoline was reduced by 130 yuan per ton, and diesel was reduced by 125 yuan per ton.

The data on the first working day of the next round of oil prices has been counted, and the change in the comprehensive variety of crude oil is -5.21%. According to this calculation, it fell 275 yuan per ton, which is equivalent to falling at 0.22 yuan -0.25 yuan per liter. Household owners, with 50 liters 92 gasoline, will be more than 11 yuan cheaper than before. The actual adjustment time of this round of oil prices was 24:00 on August 23, 2022.

In addition, international oil prices continued to fall. As of August 9, US crude oil closed at $ 90.5 per barrel, down 0.26 US dollars; Brent crude oil closed at $ 96.31 per barrel, down 0.34 US dollars.

Pig price is going to rise

On August 11, 2022, the price of pigs in East China, Central China, North China, and Northeast China welcomed another decline. However, Heilongjiang, Northeast China, continued to fall and fell to 9.6-10.1 yuan/jin per catty.

The following is the dynamics of pig prices in some areas on August 11 (for reference only):

The decline in pig prices is mainly related to the weak consumption. The market white strips are not good, and the willingness to pick up the goods is not strong. In addition, with the continuous decline of pig prices, the increasing conflict on the farming end, the difficulty of collecting pigs at low prices of slaughtering enterprises, and increasing the willingness to pick up pigs. In addition, most parts of East China, Central China, North China and Northeast China have risen. It is recommended that farmers arrange the rhythm of the column reasonably to avoid unnecessary losses.

Wheat prices are still expanding

On August 11, the decline in wheat prices was still expanding. The average acquisition price of wheat producers in the country was 1.51 yuan, a decrease of 1.95%compared with yesterday.

On August 11, although the average acquisition price of the country fell, some flour companies still permitted. The adjustment areas are mostly in some areas such as Shandong, Henan, Hebei, and Anhui. The adjustment range is 4-40 yuan per ton.

Shandong Huarui's purchase price fell 5 % per catty on August 10 to 1.56 yuan per catty; Harmony Flour will be reduced by 2 % per catty on August 10 to 1.55 yuan per catty; Qingyun Luqing, 8 On the 10th, the purchase price of wheat was raised by 5 % per catty, and the net grain vehicle rose to 1.54 yuan per catty, and the car rose to 1.535 yuan per catty. Essence

Henan Lisheng, the purchase price of wheat on August 10 was raised by 5 % per catty, rose to 1.565 yuan per catty; Luohe dance lotus flour, the price of the wheat purchase price on August 10 was reduced by 1 point per catty, and it was reduced to 1.53 yuan per catty. Farm, the purchase price of wheat on August 10 rose 2 points per catty. Among them, Zhongmai 578/Weilong 169/Shinkimai 45 rose to 1.62 yuan per catty.

Handan, Hebei Handan, was raised by 5 % per catty on August 10 to 1.555 yuan per catty.

Wulifeli, Bozhou, Anhui, and the purchase price of wheat on August 10, which raised 1 point per catty, rose to 1.555 yuan per catty.

For the current wheat, oil price, pig price and fertilizer price quotation, what do you think of? Can wheat still stabilize more than 1.6 yuan per catty this year? Looking forward to your comments!

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