Expert Talk | National Information Center Wei Qijia: Global commodity "rising sounds" domestic supply of stable prices may be normalized

Author:National Development Reform Co Time:2022.06.16

Since the beginning of this year, under the disturbance of epidemic and international emergencies, the price of commodities has fluctuated at a high level, which has appeared on my country. Wei Qijia, director of the Industrial Office of the National Information Center's Forecast Department, said in an interview with a reporter from the Finance News Agency that the global commodity of the world was "rising", and domestic supply of stable prices may be normalized.

Wei Qijia pointed out that commodity prices have dual attributes of goods and financial. Therefore, in response to the strategy of rising commodity prices, double tubes must be connected. In terms of commodity attributes, we must increase the efforts to maintain stability and do a good job of domestic supply. In terms of financial attributes, we must do a good job of market supervision to ensure that the market expects stability.

Director of the Economic and Economic Research Office of the National Information Center Economic Foreign Ministry and Wei Qijia

Global commodities are "rising", and domestic prices are relatively stable

Since the beginning of this year, the prices of over -loose global monetary environment and geopolitical conflicts have been promoted to the price of global commodities and important materials. In terms of agricultural products, international grain prices such as corn and wheat have risen significantly, and some agricultural products, agricultural resources (such as chemical fertilizer), etc. have also increased. Data show that the market prices of the national edible agricultural products in April rose 2.1%month -on -month.

In terms of energy, the international energy price index rose 24.1%from the previous month, and the non -energy price index rose 8.1%month -on -month. The total index reached a new high in recent years. In the field of basic industrial, the price of production materials in the factory price of industrial producers still maintains a high operating trend, increasing the operating cost pressure of downstream enterprises.

Wei Qijia believes that the price increase effect of international commodities in this round is gradually expanding from agricultural to industrial raw materials, and the market's expected market price increases for important international energy have been strengthened. The level of international inflation is high, and the pressure of input inflation is greater pressure. At present, my country's energy guarantee stability is not small.

"From the current global economic situation, the pressure of inflation is great. This spillover effect began to be transmitted to China. In such a large international background, we can keep the price in a reasonable range. This is hard What. "Wei Qijia said.

Still in the prominent position of the guaranteed supply and stable price

Regarding the influence of global commodity price increases on the country in the later period, Wei Qijia believes that domestic supply chain supply chain is stable, thereby ensuring the basic balance of supply and demand in the industrial field, but still placing the stable price in the prominent position.

He said that in the future, it is necessary to continue to do a good job of stabilizing the price of commodities by increasing the supply of raw materials and effectively guiding the expected raw material market. Implement the valuable "window period".

In addition, by increasing the policy of tax cuts and fees, and proper measures such as small and medium -sized enterprises to reduce burden reduction, etc., it is necessary to slow down the cost pressure of small and medium -sized enterprises and help small and medium -sized enterprises hold the pressure brought by the upstream raw materials.

Multiple measures and guarantee a stable price, guarantee the stable price or it will be normalized

Wei Qijia also pointed out that ensuring the stable production of food and the stable supply of energy is the top priority to maintain the price. This round of international agricultural prices has the influence on my country. my country has attached great importance to food safety. In recent years, agricultural agriculture has increased its income in high yields for many years, and domestic food supply is sufficient. Recently, the state has issued many subsidy policies to alleviate the pressure on agricultural production on agricultural production.

In terms of energy insurance supply, safety supply guarantees such as coal, power, and electricity have become the focus. This year, the "Government Work Report" emphasized that it is necessary to ensure the safety of food energy, ensure the normal production and operation power consumption of people's livelihood and enterprises, enhance domestic resource production security capabilities, improve the national strategic material reserve system, and ensure the supply of primary products.

Recently, as foreign energy prices have continued to rise, the Development and Reform Commission has held many meetings to promote the release of production capacity and maintain stability.

Wei Qijia suggested that the price tracking and early warning of international commodity price should be strengthened, and the problems of signs and tendencies should be responded in a timely manner. Monitor the changes in production capacity closely, do a good job of information disclosure and timely warning to ensure that the utilization rate of capacity is operating in a reasonable range. Precisely carry out supply stability and price, continue to crack down on abnormal transactions, raise prices, and regulate the market's high prices.

In addition, in the later period, it is still necessary to give full play to the government reserve market regulatory role, increase market supply, alleviate the pressure of corporate cost, and guide the return of prices reasonably. (Reporter Zhang Xiaoyu)

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