The active changes in my country's economic operations have increased: industrial production has been significantly accelerated from decreasing to foreign trade imports and exports

In May, industrial production has increased from decline, foreign trade imports and exports have accelerated significantly, employment improves, and prices are stable

Active changes in economic operation in my country (authoritative release)

Data source: National Bureau of Statistics: Zhang Fangman

The year-on-year growth rate of industries above designated size increased from -2.9%of the previous month to 0.7%. On the 15th, the National Bureau of Statistics announced May Economic Data.

"With the overall improvement of the domestic epidemic prevention and control situation, the effect of steady growth policies and measures has gradually emerged, and the positive changes in economic operation have increased. Most of the main indicators have improved. At the press conference of the National New Office held on the 15th, Fu Linghui, spokesman for the State Bureau of Statistics, said.

Gradually overcome the adverse impact of the epidemic, and the economic presentation has recovered

In May, active changes in my country's economic operation, most of the main indicators improved.

Production supply has gradually rebounded. "The effect of logistics and conservation and conservation continues to appear, the re -production and re -production of enterprises has been promoted in an orderly manner, and the industrial and service industries have recovered." Fu Linghui introduced that in May, the added value of industries above designated size increased by 0.7%year -on -year. 2.9%. Among them, the manufacturing industry increased by 0.1%in May, a decrease of 4.6%last month; the service industry production index decreased by 5.1%year -on -year, a narrowing of 1 percentage point from the previous month. The decline in wholesale retail and transportation storage industry has narrowed significantly.

Foreign trade imports and exports have accelerated significantly. As the production of foreign trade enterprises resumed, foreign trade and logistics gradually improved, and the release of foreign trade orders for the early period of backlogs, and the growth rate of import and export of goods. The total import and export of goods in May increased by 9.6%year -on -year, which was 9.5 percentage points accelerated from last month. Among them, exports increased by 15.3%, accelerating 13.4 percentage points.

Employment improvement and prices are generally stable. In May, the consumption prices of residents rose 2.1%year -on -year, the increase was the same as last month, and the prices were generally stable. The unemployment rate of urban surveys in the country was 5.9%, a decrease of 0.2 percentage points from the previous month. Among them, the unemployment rate of foreign agricultural household registration population is 6.2%, a decrease of 0.4 percentage points from last month; the unemployment rate of employment subjects at the age of 25-59 is 5.1%, which is 0.2 percentage points fell from the previous month, indicating that the basic employment base is improved.

"Foreign agricultural household registration population, the main body is migrant workers, mainly engaged in labor -intensive industries such as manufacturing, construction, and wholesale and retail industries. It reflects that the economic operation has improved, and the employment policy and measures are effective. "Fu Linghui said.

Some areas with a large impact on the epidemic have been accelerated. The production of the Yangtze River Delta region and the northeast region with a large impact on the epidemic in the early stage have improved significantly. In May, the added value of industries above designated scale and northeast of the Yangtze River Delta decreased by 3.2%and 1.1%year -on -year, respectively, and the decrease was more than 10 percentage points narrower than the previous month.

"In general, my country's economy has gradually overcome the adverse impact of the epidemic, showing the momentum of recovery." Fu Linghui analyzed that the current international environment is still complicated and severe, external uncertainty increases, and the domestic economic recovery is still initial. The growth rate of the main indicators is still low, and the recovery foundation needs to be consolidated.

Under the role of stabilizing investment and promoting consumer policies, market demand has gradually improved

In recent years, China's economic growth is mainly driven by domestic demand. In 2021, the contribution rate of domestic demand to economic growth has reached 79.1%. What are the characteristics of domestic demand?

"The situation of the epidemic prevention and control is generally better, the order of production and life has gradually recovered, and the market demand has gradually improved under the role of stabilizing investment and promoting consumer policies." Fu Linghui said.

As the first engine of economic growth, the decline in market sales has narrowed, and the vitality of the consumer market has gradually rebounded. In May, the total retail sales of social consumer goods exceeded 3.3 trillion yuan, a decrease of 6.7%year -on -year, and the decrease was 4.4 percentage points narrowed from the previous month. Among them, car retail sales with a total of nearly 10%of the total retail sales of social consumer goods decreased by 16%, a narrowing of 15.6 percentage points from April.

From the perspective of commodity categories, in the May limit of units, more than 80 % of the product value retail has improved from April, and half of the product value retail has increased.

From the perspective of consumer formats, the growth rate of physical network retail has accelerated, and the sales of self -service retail formats such as supermarkets are better than the whole. From January to May, the online retail sales of physical goods across the country increased by 5.6%year -on -year, and the growth rate accelerated by 0.4 percentage points from January to April. The postal express industry that is closely related to online shopping has rebounded significantly. The State Post Office estimated that data showed that in May, the China Express Development Index was 269.2, an increase of 11.6%month -on -month; the number of courier business increased by 20.6%month -on -month.

"Affected by the epidemic, in May, the decline in catering consumption with obvious contact type and clustered characteristics is still large, and the revenue of catering revenue in May has decreased by 21.1%year -on -year; the growth rate of commodity retail sales has not yet changed." Fu Jiaqi said that in the next stage, it is necessary to efficiently coordinate the prevention and control of the epidemic and economic and social development, solidly promote a package to stabilize the economic policy and measures, support the development of market entities, enhance the willingness to consume residents, improve residents' consumption capabilities, promote the continuous recovery of the consumer market to recover Essence

Steady growth, we must play a key role in effective investment. In the first May, the investment in fixed assets increased by 6.2%year -on -year, and the growth rate fell by 0.6 percentage points from the previous April. Among them, infrastructure investment increased by 6.7%, the growth rate accelerated by 0.2 percentage points compared to the previous April, 0.5 percentage points higher than all investment growth; high -tech industrial investment increased by 20.5%year -on -year, maintaining rapid growth this year. It is particularly worth mentioning that the role of large project investment has increased. Luo Yifei, chief statistician of the Investment Department of the National Bureau of Statistics, introduced that in the past May, the total investment of total investment of 100 million yuan or above was increased by 10.2%year -on -year, which was higher than the entire investment of 4 percentage points. The first April increased by 2 percentage points; the increase of all investment increased by 5.2 percentage points.

The economy is expected to achieve reasonable growth in the second quarter

Affected by super -expected factors such as the complicated and severe international environment and the impact of the domestic epidemic situation, the downward pressure on economic operation in the second quarter increased. In the face of difficulties, under the strong leadership of the Party Central Committee, various departments and departments have efficiently coordinating the prevention and control of epidemics and economic and social development, and economic operations have fallen from the impact of the epidemic situation to gradually recover.

付凌晖表示，4月份，受多地疫情散发的影响，经济主要指标出现下降；5月份，随着疫情防控向好，生产需求出现积极变化，但是仍有部分指标同比下降；6月份， With the implementation of a policies and measures in a package, the economic operation is expected to improve further.

Demand is expected to increase. From the perspective of investment, the efforts of stable investment have continued to increase, and the support role of investment growth has gradually strengthened. "From the perspective of advanced indicators, from January to May, the number of new projects increased by 26.1%year -on -year, and the total investment of new project planned projects increased by 23.3%. Investment projects (excluding real estate development investment) increased funds of 18.4%, which was conducive to investment scale Continuously expand. "Luo Yifei said that in the next stage, it is necessary to accelerate the construction of major projects, accelerate the issuance of special bonds for local governments, leverage to guide social investment, actively expand effective investment, and promote the steady growth of investment.

In May, the total decline in the total retail sales of consumer goods has narrowed significantly, and the growth rate of import and exports has accelerated significantly. With the gradual recovery of production and living order, the pace of consumption recovery will also accelerate, and the export of goods will continue to appear on growth.

Production recovery is expected to accelerate. "Overall, Shanghai, Jilin and other episodes have accelerated the pace of recovery and resumption of production, the smooth flow of logistics across the country has continued to improve, and key industries and enterprises' guarantee chains are promoted in an orderly manner. Industrial production began to recover in May and show positive signals." Tang Weiwei, deputy director of the Industry Department of the National Bureau of Statistics, said that the policy portfolio is accurate and industrial production is expected to accelerate recovery. In addition, in the May service industry PMI (purchasing manager index), the business activity expectation index rose from last month to 55.2%.

The market operation is expected to improve. In May, cargo turnover increased by 3.4%year -on -year, an acceleration of 0.3 percentage points from last month; the growth rate of the patent container throughput increased from negative to positive, an increase of 4.3%year -on -year. With the continuous advancement of logistics insurance, transportation and logistics will be further improved in June, which will be conducive to the smooth operation of production and circulation. In May, the PPI (industrial producer's factory price index) rose 6.4%year -on -year, and the increase fell 1.6 percentage points from the previous month, which is also conducive to alleviating the cost pressure of the middle and lower reaches industries and improving economic operation.

"Facing the complicated and severe external environment and the economic downward pressure caused by the impact of the domestic epidemic situation. Based on the original steady growth policy and measures, in May, the State Council further introduced a policy measure to stabilize the economy. Actively implement the requirements of the central government and introduce stable economy measures in accordance with the local government. These measures are expected to gradually increase the effectiveness in June and will promote the recovery of the economy. "Fu Linghui said that from the recent perspective, the large -scale tax refund policy is effectively implemented. For To ease the active role of corporate operating pressure, at the same time, financial support for the real economy has continued to increase, and the status of corporate funds has been improved. "In summary, if the epidemic can be effectively controlled, the measures of various stable growth measures are effective. With the joint efforts of all aspects, the economy is expected to achieve reasonable growth in the second quarter."

(Editor in charge: Chang Shuai Shuai)

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