After the epidemic, the rent is "up"?What should I think of the rental market in the post -epidemic era?
Author:Jiang Han Vision Time:2022.07.26
Recently, if you want to ask when you have to attract the most? The rental market is undoubtedly the focus of the market. Recently, some media have revealed that the rent has risen after the epidemic. Many people are asking what should I think of the rental market in the epidemic era? How long will the momentum of rent make up?
1. After the epidemic, the rent is "up"?
According to China News Weekly, Tang Xiao received a notice from the landlord after unblocking in Shanghai. She and her friends rented a two -bedroom room in Pudong, Shanghai, with a monthly rent of nearly 5,000 yuan. "First of all, it rose 20 %. Later, it was said that it rose 800 yuan per month, and then talked about 400 yuan per month." Tang Xiao said, "The increase is very casual, the landlord only said that the market price."
Wen Xin chose a long -term rental hotel directly. She rented near Changning West Road, and the surrounding room rose to more than 5,000 yuan a monthly rent. She turned to rent a duplex room for a long -term rental hotel in his early 6,000 yuan per month, "facilities are more convenient."
Affected by factors such as the epidemic, the rental market in first -tier cities such as Beijing and Shanghai continued to decline in May. By June, the epidemic stabilized and the graduation season came, the demand for rent in some regions in Shanghai had increased, and the transaction volume and rent had rebounded. According to data from the 58 Anju House House Research Institute, in June 2022, the average rental rent of new listings in 65 cities across the country was 30.31 yuan/m2/month, which rose 0.27 % month -on -month. Essence
In the first -tier cities, the overall performance of the Shanghai rental market has also caused discussions on the cause of rent. "The change in the rent market is more complicated than imagined." Yang Xian, the founder of the Empty White Research Institute and the honorary consultant of the Shell Research Institute, told China News Weekly, "It is not only affected by supply and demand, but also seasonal changes. Payment capacity, income expectations and other conditions. "
From the perspective of official data, the Beijing Municipal Bureau of Statistics shows that the rental housing rents rose 0.1 % in June and decreased by 0.2 % year -on -year. The Shanghai Municipal Bureau of Statistics currently only announce the price consumption index of residents in May, and the residential index rose 1.2 month -on -month, a year -on -year decrease of 0.1.
2. Should I see the rent market in the post -epidemic era?
We see the changes in the current rental market, and we still have to analyze and judge from a more objective and more rational perspective. What should we think of the overall changes and fluctuations of the current rental market?
First of all, objectively speaking, in June and July each year, the relatively high state of the rental market is because when the rental market changes cyclical, June and July are often the graduation season of various colleges and universities. The market will inevitably lead to a surge in market demand. Under such circumstances, we have actually observed before that the phenomenon of rising rent prices in June and July for many years has increased. The supply brings is inevitable, so in such a background, the price of the rental market has risen, which actually has its objective laws.
Secondly, we also observed a data. Since the first half of this year, the transaction volume and fluctuations of the entire rental market in the entire rental market are actually relatively positive. The market has shown a relatively active trend. The month is showing a trend of continuous growth. According to the data of China's urban housing leasing think tank, the transaction volume of long -term rental houses in the first half of the year began to rise in February. %. Therefore, in such a big background, we see that the overall market of housing rental in the entire city is showing a good trend, so we can say that the current price of rent prices is relatively large adjustment or recovery, which is actually a trend. The consistent process is not a sudden phenomenon in a short time.
Third, if we carefully observe the current development law of the entire long -term rental market, we will find that the phenomenon of agency and individual polarization is present on the entire rental market. From the perspective of the institution The rise in prices is not obvious. In the first half of the year, the rent of the key ten cities in the country in the first half of the year only fluctuated slightly last year. From the perspective of cities, Shanghai's transactions rose by 3.6%year -on -year, and Chengdu rose 2.8%year -on -year; Beijing, Wuhan, and Tianjin were basically the same period of the same period last year; while Shenzhen, Hangzhou, Nanjing and other cities have decreased slightly. Among them, in the peak transactions in April to June, the renewal price of long-term rental institutions increased by an average of only 2.5%-3%year-on-year. However, we see that the current prices of individual landlords increase are relatively obvious. This is also brought to the environment of the entire market. For institutions renters, they often choose longer benefits. However, for personal landlords, it may be possible It will only consider your own interests in a short time, so in such a background, it is easy to have more serious phenomena.
Fourth, we also observed that the current rent market has actually changed a certain change. This is the degree of enthusiasm for the entire rent on the market. influences. The uncertainty of the future of the epidemic prevention and control is increasing, so more people are willing to rent up and unwilling to share. The extent that the entire rental house is popular on the entire market has begun to increase, which may also bring the increase in the price level of the entire market's relatively rented house.
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