What are the main reasons for the recent rise in pig prices?Agricultural and Rural Ministry responses

Today (July 20), a press conference held a press conference to introduce the agricultural and rural economic operation in the first half of 2022, and answered reporters.

Chen Guanghua, deputy director of the Animal Husbandry and Veterinary Bureau of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, introduced that starting in late June, pig prices have experienced a wave of rise and have fallen recently. At present, the price of pigs is about 22.8 yuan per kilogram, which is about 1.1 yuan from the recent price high. Judging from the past price trend, most years of pig prices have risen seasonally since July. We have pre -judged pig prices at the beginning of the year and have also released early warning information. In response to the rapid rise of pigs since late June, we strengthened monitoring and scheduling, carried out the situation of the situation intensively, held a symposium on pig production in Cangzhou, Hebei, and sent an investigation team to investigate the main provinces of pigs such as Shandong and Guangxi. Analyze the cause and trend of price rise. In general, this round of pig prices rose mainly for recovery, seasonality rising, and superimposed some special factors, but production is sufficient. In the later period, pig prices do not have the driving force for continuous rise.

From the perspective of breeding benefits, pig prices are generally sluggish in the first half of this year. Most farms (households) are losing money. Proper increases are conducive to the sustainable development of the pig industry. According to our monitoring, except for January and June, the pig farming was slightly profitable, from February to May, it was lost. The average loss of fat pigs was 98 yuan in the first half of the year. moon. In addition, from the perspective of breeding costs, the prices of corn and soybean meal have continued to rise. One kilogram of fat pigs increased by about 1 yuan compared with the same period last year, which also promoted the rise in pig prices.

In addition, there are some special factors in pig prices rising rapidly. Some time ago, as the schools and factories resumed class and resume work, social catering gradually let go, and pork consumption increased significantly, driving the price of pigs to rise rapidly. At the same time, factors such as the increase in farms (households) and secondary fertilizers, decreased pork imports, etc. also caused a decrease in pork supply, which promoted the rise in pig prices.

At present, pig production capacity can be at a normal and reasonable level, and the number of pigs in the second half of the year is equivalent to the same period last year. The industry often says that "there are mothers who don't worry about small, there is a little bit of worry," that is to say, if you can sow, you do n’t worry about no piglets. If you have piglets, you do n’t worry about it. From the perspective of the number of sows, since this year, the stocks have been in green and reasonable areas of production capacity regulation, and have been recovering for two consecutive months. From the perspective of the number of new piglets, the number of new piglets in the first half of the year is equivalent to the same period last year, indicating that the number of pigs in the second half of the year will not be less than last year. From the perspective of the number of Chinese pigs, the number of Chinese pigs over May in June increased by 8%year -on -year. In July and August, the supply of pigs and pork production will increase steadily. All of the above data show that the supply of fat pigs in the second half of the year is guaranteed.

In the next step, the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs will focus on three aspects of work: First, strengthen monitoring and early warnings, keep an eye on key indicators such as the amount of sow pork stock, and other key indicators. According to the monthly changes, targeted adjustment measures are taken in time In a reasonable range. Strengthen information release, guide farms (households) to arrange rational arrangements, and go out of the fence to avoid excessive pressure fences. The second is to compact the responsibility. Carry out the assessment of the regulation of pig production capacity, urge localities to implement the responsible requirements of the province's overall responsibility and the "vegetable basket" mayor's responsibility system, stabilize and implement long -term support policies, and give the industry a stable policy expectations. The third is to prevent good pig disease. Continue to do a good job in the normalization of African swine fever, coordinate the prevention and control of pork flow diarrhea, and continuously improve the level of biological safety management of pig farms to ensure that the situation of the epidemic situation is stable and not rebound.

Finally, it is recommended that the majority of farms (households) arrange production reasonably. When the pig's weight is appropriate, it will go out in time.

Source: CCTV

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