National Bureau of Statistics: Stable growth measures are effective, and the economy is expected to achieve reasonable growth in the second quarter
Author:China Economic Network Time:2022.06.15
China Economic Net, Beijing, June 15th. Today, a spokesman for the National Bureau of Statistics and Director of the Department of Statistics of the National Economic Comprehensive Statistics of the National Bureau of Statistics said at the State New Office conference that if the epidemic can be effectively controlled, the various stable growth measures will be implemented. In effect, with the joint efforts of all aspects, the economy is expected to achieve reasonable growth in the second quarter.
Fu Linghui said at the press conference that due to the influence of super -expected factors such as the complicated international environment and the impact of the domestic epidemic situation, the downward pressure on economic operation in the second quarter increased. In the face of difficulties, under the strong leadership of the Party Central Committee, various departments and departments in various regions and various departments efficiently coordinate the prevention and control of the epidemic and economic and social development, actively and stabilize the macroeconomic market, increase logistics insurance and keep the smooth efforts, strengthen the rescue of enterprises, promote enterprises to promote enterprises, promote enterprises Re -labor and resurgence, economic operations have fallen from the impact of the epidemic situation to a gradual recovery.
Fu Linghui said that in April, due to the influence of the epidemic in many places, the main economic indicators declined, the epidemic prevention and control in May, and the production demand had changed positively, but some indicators still declined year -on -year. In June, with the implementation of a package of policy measures to achieve the effect of the implementation of policies and measures, economic operations are expected to further improve.
The first is that demand is expected to enhance. From the perspective of investment, the efforts of stable investment have continued to increase, and the support role of investment growth has gradually strengthened. From January to May, manufacturing investment increased by 10.6%year-on-year, of which the equipment manufacturing industry increased by 22%, and infrastructure investment growth accelerated. From January to May, infrastructure investment increased by 6.7%year-on-year, 0.2 percentage points accelerated from January to April. From the perspective of advanced indicators, the total investment of new projects from January to May increased by 23.3%year-on-year, maintaining a rapid growth. From the perspective of consumption and foreign trade, the total decline in the total retail sales of social consumer goods in May has narrowed significantly. As the order of life gradually recovers, the pace of consumption recovery will also accelerate. In May, my country's import and export growth rate was significantly accelerated, showing the characteristics of strong foreign trade toughness. With the recovery of the production of foreign trade enterprises and the improvement of port logistics, the export of goods will continue to appear on growth.
The second is that production recovery is expected to accelerate. From the perspective of industrial perspective, industrial production in May rose from decline. With the acceleration of the re -production of enterprises, especially the improvement of industrial production in areas with a relatively large impact of the epidemic in the early stage, it will support industrial production to accelerate. From the perspective of investigation, the active changes in industrial production in Shanghai, Jilin and other places have increased significantly. From the perspective of the service industry, in May, the downward trend of the service industry's production index slowed down, and some contact service industries narrowed significantly. With the general improvement of the epidemic prevention and control, the recovery of the order of production and life, the improvement of the service industry is expected to continue. In May, in the service industry PMI, the expected index of corporate operation activities has risen significantly compared with last month, reaching 55.2%.
Third, market operations are expected to improve. From the perspective of transportation logistics, in May, the number of cargo turnover across the country increased by 3.4%year -on -year, which was 0.3 percentage points accelerated from last month. With the continuous advancement of logistics insurance, transportation and logistics will be further improved in June, which will be conducive to the smooth operation of production and circulation. From the perspective of industrial prices, the effectiveness of market preservation and stable prices has appeared. In May, the output of raw coal, crude oil, and natural gas increased by 10.3%, 3.6%, and 4.9%, respectively, which was conducive to the stability of energy prices, and also drove the increase in PPI increases. In May, PPI rose 6.4%year -on -year, an increase of 1.6 percentage points from last month. PPI, especially the increase in upstream prices, is conducive to alleviating the cost pressure of the middle and lower reaches industries and improving the operation of the industrial economy.
Fourth, the stability of growth policies and measures have further effective. Faced with the complicated and severe external environment and the economic downward pressure caused by the impact of the domestic epidemic situation, based on the original steady growth policy and measures, in May, the State Council further introduced a policy measure to stabilize the economy. Actively implement the requirements of the central government and introduce stable economic measures in accordance with the local government. These measures are expected to gradually be effective in June, which will promote economic stability. From the recent situation, the effective implementation of large -scale tax refund policies has played a positive role in alleviating the pressure of corporate operations. At the same time, the efforts of financial support for the real economy have continued to increase, and corporate funds have improved.
Regarding the recovery of consumption, Fu Linghui said that at present, although the impact of the epidemic and consumption is still recovered, it should be seen that as the epidemic prevention and control effect gradually appears, employment remains stable, and consumption recovery will still be continued.
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